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The Machine Tool Industry Is Expected To Continue the Recovery Growth Trend In 2021
2022-04-19 16:00:38
(Source: Manufacturing Today MT)
2020 is an extremely unusual year. The sudden outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the economy, and the machine tool industry in various countries has also been deeply affected. At the end of the year and the beginning of the year, industry insiders paid close attention to the operation and development characteristics of China's machine tool industry, as well as the industry trends in 2021.
To this end, Mao Yufeng, executive vice chairman of the Machine Tool Industry Association (hereinafter referred to as the "Association"), gave the answers at the recent media symposium held by the association. According to the operation of the machine tool industry in the first 11 months of 2020, he expects that the main economic indicators of the machine tool industry in 2020 are expected to be the same as the previous year, and the total profit may increase by 5% to 10%. However, he also pointed out that the growth of total profits should not be blindly optimistic. This is the result of many factors. The overall profit margin of the machine tool industry is not high and the base is very low. In 2021, the machine tool industry is expected to continue the recovery growth trend in 2020.
Looking back on 2020, thanks to the rapid and decisive measures taken by the Chinese government, the epidemic has been quickly brought under control nationwide, enterprises have gradually resumed work and production, and production and operations have been on the right track month by month. It is worth mentioning that during the epidemic, more than 30 companies in the machine tool industry urgently invested in the R&D and manufacturing of mask machines and related parts, helping the country to fight the epidemic and reaping social and economic benefits. Mao Yufeng said, "This also shows from the side that the machine tool industry not only shoulders the responsibility of national defense security and industrial security, but also an important support for the people's livelihood industry."
Judging from the operation of the machine tool industry in the whole year, the metal cutting machine tool has gradually got rid of the downward trend for many years, and has shown signs of bottoming out. In 2020, new orders for metal cutting machine tools increased by 14.7%, and orders in hand increased by 9.1%. The total number of orders for metalworking machine tools for the year increased by 16%. In terms of import and export, the import of gold cutting machine tools fell by 18.1%, and the export fell by 5.8%, still in deficit, but the machine tool industry generally continued the surplus since June 2019. It can be seen that although the impact of the epidemic on various industries cannot be underestimated, there are still many bright spots in the operation of the machine tool industry.
At the symposium, Mao Yufeng pointed out that the machine tool industry is an industry that is strongly related to demand traction, but it is also a fact that there is a large gap between my country and developed countries. "First of all, demand does not match supply capacity. That is, the urgency of national strategic needs does not match the supporting capacity of domestic machine tools, and the shortcomings of the industrial chain are relatively prominent, and machine tools and key basic accessories still rely on imports. Secondly, the ability level guide Unbalanced. Although the phenomenon of emphasizing the main engine and ignoring the supporting equipment, and emphasizing the research of the prototype and the application verification has improved, but due to the strong discreteness and individualization of the machine tool products, the collaborative innovation practice of the middle products and the users is still not close enough, and it is necessary to further explore the industry-university-research. With a deeply integrated system and mechanism, we hope to play the role of a new national system in major demand-driven and common technology research and development. Later, the scale of development and quality and benefits are unbalanced. Some fields are deeply caught in the development trap of "big but not strong" , resulting in a serious lack of R&D investment, lack of talents, transformation and upgrading and high-quality development problems have plagued most enterprises. But it is undeniable that the past 20 years are still an important stage for China's machine tool enterprises to strive to catch up with the developed countries and advanced technologies in the world In this process, we should analyze the current situation of the industry and the actual difficulties encountered by some enterprises with an objective and rational attitude.
At present, with the diversification of demand, there have also been some new changes in the supply and demand relationship of the machine tool industry. Mao Yufeng summed it up as: "The machine tool industry has transformed from product specialization to market specialization."
First, the market demand has changed from relying entirely on investment to taking both investment and consumption into consideration. For example, it has changed from serving mainly heavy and chemical industries such as energy, steel, and equipment manufacturing in the past to serving many fields such as 3C, next-generation mobile communication technology, new energy vehicles, medical equipment, and semiconductors. That is, the demand relationship has changed.
Second, the supply mode of the industry has changed from batching to customization. From the past product orientation to the market orientation based on providing solutions and professional services. That is, the way of supply has changed.
Third, the role of the industrial chain has changed from demand realization to demand creation. From the previous passive-following method to solve the problem of user needs, to the joint pre-research of new needs and new processes with Chinese users. That is to truly become the user's "craftsman".
Fourth, the manufacturing system has changed from discrete automation to system-wide intelligence. The gradual disappearance of the demographic dividend, the difficulty in recruiting workers and the rise in labor costs have forced industrial enterprises to transform and upgrade to digital and intelligent manufacturing. That is, it deeply solves problems such as the diversification of demand levels, the individualization of demand consumption and the development of enterprises themselves.
Looking forward to 2021, Mao Yufeng is full of confidence. He believes that the recovery and development of China's machine tool industry is supported, mainly due to the following points: first, my country's overall epidemic prevention work has achieved remarkable results, and the economic recovery speed of various industries is far; second, the new development pattern of dual circulation It will effectively promote the development of the machine tool market; third, various policies and measures to deal with the epidemic continue to take effect; fourth, the automobile manufacturing industry has rebounded strongly, and the market demand of the machine tool industry has increased. He said: "Under the condition that the epidemic does not rebound, uncertain factors are effectively dealt with, and various policies continue to take effect, China's machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in 2021."
2021 is the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan". Mao Yufeng also admitted that in the next 10 to 15 years, the association should actively reflect the industry's demands to the government, better serve the industry enterprises, and help the development of the industry.
2020 is an extremely unusual year. The sudden outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the economy, and the machine tool industry in various countries has also been deeply affected. At the end of the year and the beginning of the year, industry insiders paid close attention to the operation and development characteristics of China's machine tool industry, as well as the industry trends in 2021.
To this end, Mao Yufeng, executive vice chairman of the Machine Tool Industry Association (hereinafter referred to as the "Association"), gave the answers at the recent media symposium held by the association. According to the operation of the machine tool industry in the first 11 months of 2020, he expects that the main economic indicators of the machine tool industry in 2020 are expected to be the same as the previous year, and the total profit may increase by 5% to 10%. However, he also pointed out that the growth of total profits should not be blindly optimistic. This is the result of many factors. The overall profit margin of the machine tool industry is not high and the base is very low. In 2021, the machine tool industry is expected to continue the recovery growth trend in 2020.
Looking back on 2020, thanks to the rapid and decisive measures taken by the Chinese government, the epidemic has been quickly brought under control nationwide, enterprises have gradually resumed work and production, and production and operations have been on the right track month by month. It is worth mentioning that during the epidemic, more than 30 companies in the machine tool industry urgently invested in the R&D and manufacturing of mask machines and related parts, helping the country to fight the epidemic and reaping social and economic benefits. Mao Yufeng said, "This also shows from the side that the machine tool industry not only shoulders the responsibility of national defense security and industrial security, but also an important support for the people's livelihood industry."
Judging from the operation of the machine tool industry in the whole year, the metal cutting machine tool has gradually got rid of the downward trend for many years, and has shown signs of bottoming out. In 2020, new orders for metal cutting machine tools increased by 14.7%, and orders in hand increased by 9.1%. The total number of orders for metalworking machine tools for the year increased by 16%. In terms of import and export, the import of gold cutting machine tools fell by 18.1%, and the export fell by 5.8%, still in deficit, but the machine tool industry generally continued the surplus since June 2019. It can be seen that although the impact of the epidemic on various industries cannot be underestimated, there are still many bright spots in the operation of the machine tool industry.
At the symposium, Mao Yufeng pointed out that the machine tool industry is an industry that is strongly related to demand traction, but it is also a fact that there is a large gap between my country and developed countries. "First of all, demand does not match supply capacity. That is, the urgency of national strategic needs does not match the supporting capacity of domestic machine tools, and the shortcomings of the industrial chain are relatively prominent, and machine tools and key basic accessories still rely on imports. Secondly, the ability level guide Unbalanced. Although the phenomenon of emphasizing the main engine and ignoring the supporting equipment, and emphasizing the research of the prototype and the application verification has improved, but due to the strong discreteness and individualization of the machine tool products, the collaborative innovation practice of the middle products and the users is still not close enough, and it is necessary to further explore the industry-university-research. With a deeply integrated system and mechanism, we hope to play the role of a new national system in major demand-driven and common technology research and development. Later, the scale of development and quality and benefits are unbalanced. Some fields are deeply caught in the development trap of "big but not strong" , resulting in a serious lack of R&D investment, lack of talents, transformation and upgrading and high-quality development problems have plagued most enterprises. But it is undeniable that the past 20 years are still an important stage for China's machine tool enterprises to strive to catch up with the developed countries and advanced technologies in the world In this process, we should analyze the current situation of the industry and the actual difficulties encountered by some enterprises with an objective and rational attitude.
At present, with the diversification of demand, there have also been some new changes in the supply and demand relationship of the machine tool industry. Mao Yufeng summed it up as: "The machine tool industry has transformed from product specialization to market specialization."
First, the market demand has changed from relying entirely on investment to taking both investment and consumption into consideration. For example, it has changed from serving mainly heavy and chemical industries such as energy, steel, and equipment manufacturing in the past to serving many fields such as 3C, next-generation mobile communication technology, new energy vehicles, medical equipment, and semiconductors. That is, the demand relationship has changed.
Second, the supply mode of the industry has changed from batching to customization. From the past product orientation to the market orientation based on providing solutions and professional services. That is, the way of supply has changed.
Third, the role of the industrial chain has changed from demand realization to demand creation. From the previous passive-following method to solve the problem of user needs, to the joint pre-research of new needs and new processes with Chinese users. That is to truly become the user's "craftsman".
Fourth, the manufacturing system has changed from discrete automation to system-wide intelligence. The gradual disappearance of the demographic dividend, the difficulty in recruiting workers and the rise in labor costs have forced industrial enterprises to transform and upgrade to digital and intelligent manufacturing. That is, it deeply solves problems such as the diversification of demand levels, the individualization of demand consumption and the development of enterprises themselves.
Looking forward to 2021, Mao Yufeng is full of confidence. He believes that the recovery and development of China's machine tool industry is supported, mainly due to the following points: first, my country's overall epidemic prevention work has achieved remarkable results, and the economic recovery speed of various industries is far; second, the new development pattern of dual circulation It will effectively promote the development of the machine tool market; third, various policies and measures to deal with the epidemic continue to take effect; fourth, the automobile manufacturing industry has rebounded strongly, and the market demand of the machine tool industry has increased. He said: "Under the condition that the epidemic does not rebound, uncertain factors are effectively dealt with, and various policies continue to take effect, China's machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in 2021."
2021 is the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan". Mao Yufeng also admitted that in the next 10 to 15 years, the association should actively reflect the industry's demands to the government, better serve the industry enterprises, and help the development of the industry.